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Padres’ interest in Yankees farm system suggests multiple trade scenarios are in play

San Diego appears to be preparing for every version of a Yankees trade.
Nov 21, 2023; San Diego, CA, USA; San Diego Padres president of baseball operations and general manager A.J. Preller speaks to the media during a press conference announcing the hiring of manager Mike Shildt (not pictured) at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 21, 2023; San Diego, CA, USA; San Diego Padres president of baseball operations and general manager A.J. Preller speaks to the media during a press conference announcing the hiring of manager Mike Shildt (not pictured) at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports | USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Connect

We can stop treating the Padres-Yankees speculation runs deeper than just one player. The Friars aren’t watching a few Yankees games or checking in on one specific prospect. They appear to be canvassing the entire organization.

Joel Sherman noted that New York has consistently had a scout watching San Diego. The Padres returned the favor over the weekend by placing scouts “literally at every level” of the Yankees’ system, including multiple evaluators at Triple-A.

The important part isn’t any individual player being connected to that report. It’s the scope of the Padres homework. One scout attending a major league game can be explained away easily. That happens all the time, especially during this time of year. Sending evaluators throughout another organization is different. That suggests the Padres are building a board, comparing players at different levels and preparing themselves for multiple versions of a potential deal.

The Padres and Yankees have too many reasons to keep talking

The Padres enter the deadline in the uncomfortable middle ground that A.J. Preller seems to enjoy more than any executive should. They aren’t good enough to justify emptying what remains of their farm for a couple of rentals. And they also aren’t far enough out of the postseason race to wave a white flag and dismantle the roster. They’re in need of another route. 

We know that starting pitching is the obvious need, and that their bullpen is one of the roster’s strengths. That creates an opening for the kind of unconventional move Preller leans into: trade from the major league roster, acquire controllable talent and reshape the team without committing to a full selloff.

The Yankees fit that approach. New York has a shopping list of its own. They’ve been connected to bullpen help, catching, starting pitching and additional help up the middle. San Diego has players who could address at least part of that list, while the Yankees have young talent spread across several minor league levels.

That doesn’t point toward one obvious trade. It points toward several possibilities. The Padres could pursue a prospect-heavy return. They could prioritize someone closer to the majors. They could build a present-for-present swap designed to help both clubs immediately. Or they could even construct a larger package involving players with different levels of control.

These front offices already know how to make a complicated deal

These are two teams that don’t need an introduction. Their seven-player Juan Soto trade sent Michael King, Randy Vásquez, Jhony Brito, Kyle Higashioka and Drew Thorpe to San Diego. That package helped the Padres replace one superstar with multiple pieces. 

These are two front offices that understand how the other evaluates talent. They have already exchanged names, negotiated a massive package and completed a deal carrying enormous pressure on both sides.

Brian Cashman knows Preller will consider something aggressive. Preller knows the Yankees possess more than the handful of prospects who dominate public trade proposals. So the Padres are taking another detailed look. 

Scouting doesn’t guarantee a trade, but we don’t need to list out all the disclaimers. Teams don’t blanket every level of another organization a few days before the deadline because they’re bored. They do it because they want fresh information available when negotiations accelerate and names begin moving across the table.

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