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A.J. Preller’s reported restraint is the Padres trade deadline twist nobody expected

The coffee can stay strong. The trade offers don’t have to.
Sep 4, 2024; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres general manager A.J. Preller looks on before a game against the Detroit Tigers at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images
Sep 4, 2024; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres general manager A.J. Preller looks on before a game against the Detroit Tigers at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images | USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Connect

It’s strange to hear that A.J. Preller is sounding subdued during trade season. It’s like if Petco Park ran out of beer. We can accept that it is technically possible. But is it believable?

Apparently that’s the version of Preller rival executives are encountering. According to Bob Nightengale, one general manager said the Padres POBO “just doesn’t sound the same,” while executives who have spoken with him reportedly expect the Padres to hold on to Mason Miller, potentially trade Michael King and avoid going on the usual trade deadline rampage.

Maybe that’s a good thing. We don’t need to diagnose Preller from a few phone calls yet. Maybe he’s just a little tired, and a disappointing season is draining him a little. The pending ownership transfer also doesn’t help. Whatever the explanation could be, a restrained Preller might be exactly what the Padres need.

Padres do not need more A.J. Preller deadline chaos

We’ve seen Preller identify a roster problem, call every executive in baseball and keep trading until the transaction log needs another page. It’s entertaining, chaotic, keeps writers busy and creates national headlines. It also leaves the Padres trying to repair the farm system after every adrenaline rush wears off.

That approach makes sense when a team is one significant addition away from becoming a legitimate World Series threat. The 2026 Padres aren’t that. 

They managed to climb back to .500 after beating down a Marlins team in freefall. And now entering their final homestand before the deadline at 53-53. That keeps the season alive. It doesn’t magically turn a pretty flawed roster into a juggernaut.

This team’s season is hovering around mediocrity and can’t afford to treat every pulse as permission to empty out the farm. 

Ethan Salas should be untouchable. Don’t move Kruz Schoolcraft either. This deadline offers him a chance to prove he knows when a big move would be a mistake.

Keeping Mason Miller should be the easiest Padres decision

The reported expectation that San Diego will retain Miller is the correct one. Keep him. The Padres surrendered Leo De Vries and three additional prospects to acquire him last summer. They made that trade because they believed the best closer in baseball could anchor their bullpen for multiple postseason runs, not because they wanted to flip him one year later when the rest of the roster underperformed.

Miller remains under club control through 2029. He’s part of the next Padres contender as much as the current team. Trading him now would require an absurd return, and using him to escape an unrelated bad contract (Xander Bogaerts) would be malpractice.

King is a different conversation. He can opt out after this season, and the Padres cannot attach another qualifying offer because he already received one last winter. If San Diego keeps him and he leaves, there is no compensatory draft pick waiting as consolation.

Listening to offers for King while retaining Miller is basic asset management. Miller is a long-term building block. King is an excellent starter carrying a ticking contractual clock. If another club offers young, controllable talent, Preller should listen carefully.

That is not surrender. It is acknowledging that the Padres need more than one desperate deadline purchase to fix this roster.

If rival executives barely recognize this quieter version of Preller, that’s fine. The Padres don’t need the old version this week. They need an executive willing to protect Miller, preserve the farm system and stop pretending every disappointing season can be rescued with another expensive trade. Boring Preller, now that’s progress. 

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