Luis Arráez trade is looking even better with injury news on former Padres prospect

San Diego's trade for Luis Arraez is looking better and better by the day.
San Diego Padres v Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres v Philadelphia Phillies / Brandon Sloter/GettyImages
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Given how the offseason started, few would have bet that the San Diego Padres would be the team to make two of the bigger early trades of the 2024 season. However, that is exactly what happened as not only did the Padres swing a last-minute deal for Dylan Cease, but they also managed to convince the Marlins to trade Luis Arráez to them at a point in time when deals normally don't get done.

One of the reasons why the Padres were able to get the Arráez trade to the finish line was because of the strength of the package they sent to Miami. San Diego prospects Dillon Head, Jakob Marsee, Nathan Martorella, as well as reliever Woo-Suk Go were so attractive to the notoriously cheap Marlins that they were willing to eat a chunk of Arráez's salary, too.

At the time, most thought that the Padres got the edge in the deal, especially given that Arráez was exactly the kind of contact hitter that San Diego needed. However, the deal is looking even better for the Padres now with the word that the top prospect they sent, Dillon Head, needed hip surgery that ended his 2024 season.

Former top Padres prospect from Arráez trade had season-ending surgery

This is one of those situations that is more sad than deserving of a victory lap. When the Padres took Head 25th overall in the 2023 MLB Draft, it was because they really liked the upside he possessed as an athlete who knew how to make contact and could absolutely fly on the basepaths and in the outfield. Parting with him was a genuine loss for San Diego's farm system and was a sign that they really, really wanted Arráez.

Making matters worse, hip injuries that require surgery are very often really bad news. Head's surgery is reportedly to address an impingement in his hip, and while the hope is that he will bounce right back, hip injuries can be very difficult to fully rehab from depending on the amount of structural damage. For a guy that relies on quick twitch movement like Head does, that could present an issue.

That said, it looks like this turn of rotten luck dodged the Padres this time. San Diego got a guy that will significantly help their offense for the next year plus in Arráez while the Marlins unfortunately found out that nothing is guaranteed when it comes to banking on prospects.

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