San Diego Padres: Three Biggest Disappointments Of 2018
With the San Diego Padres 2018 season wrapping up, let’s take a look at three of the biggest disappointments from this year.
What a season for the San Diego Padres. It was the summer of rookies and major league debuts, learning, growing, and evaluating. Unfortunately, that means it was the summer of a lot of bad baseball, there’s no denying that. It was expected with a roster like this. While we have been trying to focus on the positives from the second half of the season lately, it’s time to look at a few performances that were a bit disappointing.
Some of these performances can be fixed and turned around next year, at least we better hope so. Others will more than likely mean the end of the road for certain players, at least in a Padres uniform.
Let’s start with the performance that raised the most eyebrows and caused the most amount of headaches.
Eric Hosmer‘s first season with the San Diego Padres left a lot to be desired.
Per Fangraphs, only Carlos Asuaje, Chase Headley, and Jose Pirela had a fWAR equal or lower to Eric Hosmer’s this season (-0.4). His 92 wRC+ ranks 36th among all qualified first basemen in baseball. Only Ryon Healy of the Seattle Mariners has grounded into more double plays and just three other first baseman recorded more strikeouts in 2018. There’s no sugarcoating this performance from Eric Hosmer, it was bad.
Let me interject with a few positives about Hosmer. The signing of Eric Hosmer told me as a fan that this team just might be serious about winning, soon. Fans can debate whether or not this was the right person to spend $144 million on, however, it was the type of move that the Padres have avoided for too many years.
He can still be an effective player in this system. The ability to go the opposite way and find the gaps (31 doubles) are valuable assets to have in a player. Does having to adjust to National Leauge pitching after seven seasons in the American League warrant any consideration? Possibly.
The fact of the matter is Hosmer posted the highest strikeout rate of his career (21.3%) and his lowest batting average/OBP/slugging percentage since 2012.
His 88.8 mph average exit velocity is his lowest EV in the Statcast era, while the rest of the league feasts on today’s baseballs and produce some of the highest exit velos in recent years. The launch angle has been well documented, so we’ll just point out that it’s currently at -1.0 degrees. Brutal.
One last note on Hosmer. Fangraphs grades his defense at first base as the worst in major league baseball. Let’s hope 2019 brings about much positive change but until then, this season was a big disappointment for a fan base looking to see a $144 million contract in action.
The lowest rated player on the San Diego Padres roster? Jose Pirela.
To be fair, Jose Pirela did win one award this season after being named the San Diego Padres winner of the MLBPAA Heart and Hustle Award. That’s great and all, but means nothing as far as actual production on the field, something Pirela failed to do in 2018.
His -0.8 fWAR is the lowest on the current roster. If he had enough at-bats to qualify, Pirela would rank ahead of only Chris Davis, Victor Martinez, and Yangervis Solarte in fWAR. Appearing in 143 games, Pirela hit just .251 with a .644 OPS and a 78 wRC+. He managed only four home runs, this after hitting 10 in 83 games last season.
One of the more notable struggles Pirela had, came when he was on the basepaths. His -4.9 BsR (Baserunning advanced metric) would place him among the top 10 worst base runners in all of baseball, if he qualified.
Pirela has been tagged out eight times while on base, placing him in a tie for the fourth-most in the majors, however, of the 28 players who have eight or more OOB (outs on base), 21 of them have at least 100 more at-bats (most more than 200).
Without a defensive position he excels out, it’s nearly impossible to find a role for Jose Pirela on next year’s team. There is zero room in the outfield and Andy Green clearly preferred playing Christian Villanueva and Cory Spangenberg over Pirela in the infield, before the injuries to Villy and Luis Urias forced Green to give Pirela more at-bats over the final few weeks of the season. So, while the heart and hustle are admirable, there are plenty of other options for the Padres, preferably one with a better glove and baserunning instincts.
Much of the San Diego Padres starting pitching staff left a lot to be desired.
The biggest positive takeaway from this year’s pitching staff has been the solidifying of the back end of the future rotation. Rookie Joey Lucchesi is having one of the best rookie seasons ever experienced by a Padres pitcher and Eric Lauer continues to show growth and development in his first season by increasing his velocity and even showcasing a brand new pitch.
The bullpen has been one of the best in the major leagues and has been even better since the trading away of Adam Cimber and Brad Hand, two solid relievers in their own right (well, Cimber saw much better days in San Diego, not so much in Cleveland). With this position solidified, let’s look at a few starting pitchers that could not get the job done in 2018.
San Diego placed Walker Lockett on the 40-man roster last winter to protect him from the Rule-5 draft, hoping he was fully recovered from injuries that limited him over the years. Lockett made his MLB debut this season, appearing in four games and starting three earlier this summer. There was very little in the way of positives from Walker Lockett after recording an 0-3 record, 9.60 ERA, 2.13 WHIP, and giving up 16 earned runs on 22 hits in 15 innings.
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We also can’t ignore the team’s ace, Clayton Richard. No one expected Richard to put up ace-like numbers, seeing as the only reason he was the Opening Day starter was that there’s no one else on this staff. Richard pitched like Clayton Richard for much of the year, until his performance tanked, hard.
Over his final seven starts, Richard averaged less than five innings per start (34 innings), walked 13, struck out just 16, and gave up 33 earned runs (8.57 ERA). Far from the six/seven innings, three/four-run performance fans and the team were expecting from a Clayton Richard start. His final line: 7-11, 5.33 ERA, 60 BB, 108 K, 1.38 WHIP.
His season ended early with knee surgery, however, Richard is expected to be back next season and will surely be in the mix for Opening Day 2019 (pending potential free agent signings and Joey Lucchesi’s spring training).
The San Diego Padres will play their final three games of the 2018 regular season, beginning Friday night at Petco Park against the Arizona Diamondbacks.