San Diego Padres trade rumors: Starting pitching
As the deadline approaches, San Diego Padres trade rumors are heating up. In this article, the Friars on Base staff discusses Friar starters who could potentially be dealt.
Teams with any hope of making the playoffs have already started to make trades for pitchers with left-hander Jose Quintana moving across town from the Chicago White Sox to the Cubs. The Padres have made no secret of the fact that the team will be open to trading veterans including southpaw Clayton Richard as well as righties Jhoulys Chacin and Trevor Cahill.
The three have identical one-year $1.75 million dollar contracts, which makes them slightly more attractive to trading partners. However other names like Sonny Gray, Justin Verlander, and Gerrit Cole have been bandied about as well.
This year the Padres chose the 29-year-old Venezuelan Chacin to start opening day at Dodger Stadium. He lasted 3.1 innings and gave up eight hits and nine runs. In what has become a tradition, the Dodgers embarrassed the Padres 14-3, hitting a total of four home runs including a grand slam.
Since that game, Chacin has performed relatively well, especially at Petco Park with home/road splits of 5-2 (1.94 ERA) and 3-5, (7.95 ERA). His WHIP of 1.31 (2017) has been consistent throughout career, and he leads the team with 92 strikeouts.
Chacin, who started his career with the Rockies in 2004), has experience as both a starter and a reliever, possibly adding to his value. In 2010, his first full year with Colorado he had an impressive 3.28 ERA and nine wins. Injuries and a lack of consistency led to his release in 2015. Since then he’s played for the Indians, Diamondbacks, Braves and Angels.
Might the Rockies be interested in having him rejoin club? With Colorado (as well as Arizona) in the wild card hunt, the Rockies could use another veteran in the rotation.
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Since returning to the Padres in August of 2016, 33-year-old Richard has been a serviceable left-handed innings eater, ranking among leaders with 20 starts. However, the final game of the series in Colorado did not improve his value. In one of those Coors Field atrocities, the Padres lost 18-4 with Richards lasting just 3.2 innings, giving up 14 hits, 11 runs, 10 earned. His ERA rose from 4.75 to 5.35, although his FIP is lower at 4.51. He recently win the Heart and Hustle Award for the Padres.
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Trevor Cahill’s two trips to the disabled this year for back and shoulder injuries could definitely limit his trade value. However his experience as both a starter and reliever could mitigate the injury history.
The 29-year-old spent his first three years with Oakland, then three with Arizona, one with Atlanta, two with the Cubs. Those last two years before signing with the Padres were spent in Chicago’s bullpen. As a reliever for the Cubs he record 66 strikeouts and an ERA of 2.74 ERA but wanted an opportunity to start again.
Before his stint with the home team Cahill last pitched as a starter in 2014 with the Arizona Diamondbacks. That year he had a record of 3-12 and an unsightly 5.61 ERA in 110 innings. During his best year, 2010 he finished ninth in the Cy Young voting with a record 18-8 in 196.2 innings and an ERA of 2.97. Cahill’s career WHIP stands at 1.351, but this year has improved to 1.238. He and Chacin share a 1.4 WAR.
Cheri Bell
When the 2017 baseball season began I anticipated a dismal season for the Padres starting rotation. With cast off signees Jhoulys Chacin, Jarred Cosart, Jered Weaver and Trevor Cahill the Padres resigned 2016 surprise Clayton Richard. Hoping to catch lightning in a bottle, the front office felt that the magic of Darren Balsley would be able to make a serviceable rotation with the addition of last year’s Rule V claim, Luis Perdomo.
At the half way point of the year, Weaver seems to have faded away, Cosart has had season ending surgery and Clayton Richard has been inconsistent, at best. With the addition of Dinelson Lamet to replace the DL problems, Chacin and Cahill have been the best performers but that isn’t saying a whole lot. The entire staff has been inconsistent.
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With the trade deadline approaching there has been talk that both Chacin and Cahill could draw interest from contending teams. I find that difficult to believe with all the inconsistencies they have had through the first half.
If either is traded I don’t think the Padres would get much in return for either one. Lamet and Perdomo have more of a future but the Friars would be foolish to trade young talent at this point, especially with both of them still developing.
It makes sense that Cahill would bring the best return as he is younger with more upside but Chacin seems more able to pitch when lacking his best stuff.
Either way, I will be surprised if the Padres can get much of anything of value in return for either. If they do I will acknowledge A.J. Preller to be the genius some claim he is.
Jonathan Goehring
While San Diego’s starters haven’t received as much attention surrounding the trade deadline as their bullpen, it isn’t out of the realm of possibility that one or more of them could be moved.
Some theorize that the four starters the Padres signed to one-year deals this offseason including Clayton Richard, Jhoulys Chacin, Jered Weaver, and Trevor Cahill were signed with the trade deadline in mind. Yes, they are veterans who can help the young San Diego rotation develop, and serve as a bridge to the gap between potential long term starters. But also, it is feasible that the front office figured that if one or more of these veterans could have strong first halves, they could be on the trade market.
With the increasing importance of relief pitching, starting pitching isn’t as significant of a commodity at this year’s deadline. Of course, it is still important, but inconsistent starters with ERAs exceeding 4.00 aren’t the most coveted.
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There are benefits to San Diego starters in the eyes of contenders, mainly their contract statuses. Each is signed to a one-year deal, and are very affordable. Weaver is signed for $3 million, while the other three are under contract for $1.75 million. As a result of short term inexpensive contracts, contending organizations can decide whether or not to re-sign the starters during the offseason, but by no means need to make a long term commitment.
Plus, these players themselves know they are in their contract season, which will bring the best out of them when a contender needs them most.
Talent and consistency are without a doubt in question, but the convenience of a deal involving a San Diego starter makes one or more possible. Likely not Weaver due to his more expensive contract, struggling pitching, and injury issues. But Cahill, Richard, and Chacin are all trade bait. Hopefully, if the Padres choose to pull the trigger, they will net some promising prospects in return.
Next: Lamet exceeding expectations, offense rolling
This concludes our trade deadline analysis on the starting pitching. Stay tuned this week as we share our thoughts on position players.