The San Diego Padres can't afford many more losses to a last place team like the Colorado Rockies, and will look to get back on track after losing on Monday to Colorado 4-3.
San Diego will start seldom used Pedro Avila against Pete Lambert of the Rockies. While San Diego has the name brand stars in the lineup, the team couldn't keep up with Colorado, who is selling at the trade deadline.
How will the second meeting go on MLB Trade Deadline day? Here are the odds and our best bet:
Padres vs. Rockies odds, run line and total
Padres vs. Rockies prediction and pick
Avilia has only pitched five big league innings this season, but hasn't allowed an earned run just yet. While he may not pitched more than once around the order, he will hand the ball to a top 10 bullpen in terms of ERA.
Meanwhile, Lambert is likely going to struggle against the Padres, posting a 4.76 ERA with a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 5.30 while allowing a ton of hard contact, nearly 17% home run to fly ball rate. It's worth noting that Lambert is stranding more than 73% of batters on base, but has walked more than three batters per nine innings.
Lambert's poor underlying metrics is going to be a big problem against the Padres lineup that is tops in the big leagues in walk rate on the year. The team is going to have runners on base constantly and the Rockies starter is going to struggle to pitch through his poor command.
I'm going to trust San Diego to bounce back in a big way and win comfortably on Tuesday night.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.