3 surprise moves that the Padres could make before Opening Day
Here are some off the beaten path moves that the Padres could make before the start of the 2024 season.
Right now, the San Diego Padres are in the middle of a transitional period that has started off rather painfully. No team lost more from their roster this offseason than the Padres, as the team is still reeling from the death of owner Peter Seidler and a payroll crunch of epic proportions (the latter of which is partially a problem of their own making).
Most rational human beings would expect San Diego to be a worse team in 2023 as a result. They lost the reigning NL Cy Young in Blake Snell, arguably the best reliever in baseball in Josh Hader, and all-world hitter Juan Soto, and their replacements range from speculative to non-existent.
That doesn't mean that fans should count out AJ Preller, however. Preller has his flaws, but no one can say that he is the type of GM that is going to stand pat and just let things happen to him. In the coming weeks, we will know if Preller is looking to find a way to help this team compete in the short-term, or try to lay the groundwork for the Padres in the future.
With that in mind, here is a look at some more surprising moves that the Padres could make in the lead up to Opening Day.
Trading Joe Musgrove isn't outside the realm of possibility
Okay Padres fans, please put your pitchforks down. Yes, trading away a starter the caliber of Musgrove sounds pretty dubious for a team that already lost three starters from their rotation to free agency. It also wouldn't send the best signal for the future, given that the Padres extended Musgrove for five years only to hypothetically trade him a year and a half later.
However, the Padres' reality is that, in order to continue to overhaul their roster and make it sustainable, they need more cheap and talented youth while creating some payroll space. They do have some prospect help coming at some positions, but the system isn't overly deep in high end talent and, right now, their payroll is where they want it to sit, without much wiggle room.
If San Diego were to trade Musgrove, the return would be substantial. He is making $20 million a year, which isn't nothing, but the Padres would still have no shortage of suitors willing to give up big-time prospect packages in exchange for four years of Musgrove's production at that rate. Moving him would also clear $20 million a year off their books that could be spread out to improve the roster and help offset the rising arbitration costs that the Padres are going to have if their young guys work out.
The Padres could shock everyone and sign Hyun-Jin Ryu
There are a lot of folks wondering how the Padres are going to cover innings in 2024 with their rotation. Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove (unless San Diego follows our advice), and Michael King are currently set to anchor the top of the rotation, but they appear to hanging a lot of hope on their young guys like Drew Thorpe and Robby Snelling to cover meaningful innings this coming season.
However, one outside of the box option that San Diego should consider is adding free agent Hyun-Jin Ryu. Ryu has finished in the top 3 of Cy Young voting twice, consistently pounds the zone, and brings the added benefit of being a signing that the Padres can torture the Dodgers with.
There is risk with adding Ryu, though. Since 2015, Ryu has had multiple surgeries to fix his shoulder and elbow, including Tommy John surgery, which cost him a chunk of his 2022 and 2023 seasons with the Blue Jays. While any pitcher is an injury risk, Ryu's risk is uniquely high.
For a team like the Padres that needs to control costs while still trying to finding a way to field a competitive team in a brutal division, this is the kind of risk they simply have to take at this point. If he is healthy and can return to form, Ryu could be a front-of-the-rotation arm at a massive discount over the going rate for that kind of arm talent. It does look like this move could actually be on the Padres radar as well, given that recent reports have connected the two.
Instead of trading Ha-Seong Kim, San Diego could decide to move Jake Cronenworth
So much of the Padres' offseason trade rumor mill has centered around a possible trade of Ha-Seong Kim. Given that Kim is probably going to be a free agent after the season (he has a mutual option he will almost definitely not exercise), he fits the typical profile of a player that could get traded. However, there may be some more wisdom in moving infielder Jake Cronenworth instead.
For starters, Cronenworth is the strictly worse player overall. Ever since his rookie season, Cronenworth's offensive production has declined every season, and his defensive excellence elsewhere in the infield has not translated to first base very well. On a roster that is full of talented middle infielders, Cronenworth is kind of the odd man out at the moment.
That said, he is far from lacking value. Cronenworth is still a strong defender, and does have offensive upside if he can make some adjustments to let his hit tool play up. He can hit for a bit of power, and he did make a pair of All-Star Games in 2021 and 2022. Given that the market for quality middle infielders ahead of the 2024 season has been shallow at best, a guy like Cronenworth -- who would also come with team control through 2030 -- has a lot of appeal, and would net a nice package of prospects in return.
Instead of moving Kim, the Padres should absolutely try to trade Cronenworth. Maybe they use the $11-12 million a year in savings to try and keep Kim around long-term, or maybe they use the money to invest in the starting pitching staff more. In either case, moving Cronenworth may look shocking, given the Padres' investment in him, but it would really help San Diego bolster their roster and their payroll for the long haul.