3 players Padres' fans will have unattainable expectations for in 2024

The Friars' faithful are sure to set a high bar for these players.

San Diego Padres pitcher Yu Darvish
San Diego Padres pitcher Yu Darvish / John Fisher/GettyImages
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The San Diego Padres fanbase had high expectations last season, and who could blame them? With Juan Soto, Manny Machado, Blake Snell, Josh Hader, and Fernando Tatis Jr., the Friars were picked by many to win the National League.

But alas, it was not to be. Early-season struggles sank the Padres' World Series aspirations, and San Diego fell short of the MLB Postseason altogether. Since the end of the 2023 campaign, the Padres have traded Soto and have watched numerous free agents flee America's Finest City to find big paydays elsewhere.

But the Padres still have legitimate opportunity to compete in the NL West despite the Los Angeles Dodgers' free agent spending spree and the upstart Arizona Diamondbacks' wide-open window of contention. While fans always have high expectations for their team, these three Padres players will undoubtedly fall short of the lofty goals set upon them by the San Diego fanbase.

3. Randy Vásquez

Randy Vásquez was one of the many players who came to San Diego earlier this offseason in exchange for Juan Soto and Trent Grisham. Vásquez, who was an international free agent signee of the New York Yankees back in 2018, made his major league debut last season.

Vasquez put up very good numbers in 2023. In 11 games, including five starts, Vasquez went 2-2 and posted a very respectable 2.87 ERA. Vasquez also started 17 games in the minors last season and struck out nearly 27 percent of the batters he faced.

Unfortunately, if you dig a little deeper into the stat sheet, you'll see that Vásquez posted 4.98 FIP during his 11 major league appearances last year. That 2.11 difference between his ERA and FIP suggest that Vásquez was more lucky than good.

Most projections see Vásquez as part of the San Diego starting rotation heading into next season. With the departures of Blake Snell, Nick Martinez, Seth Lugo, and Michael Wacha, the Padres will have no choice but to rely heavily on Vásquez, and other young pitchers, at the beginning of next season.

Technically, Vásquez is still considered a rookie. And while baseball fans have seen first-year pitchers have success in recent years, the Friars faithful will need to be patient with Vásquez. The absence of some of the Padres' top starters from 2023 is going to leave a void in the rotation, and the San Diego fanbase will need to be cautious not to thrust outlandish expectations onto a rookie hurler.

2. Yu Darvish

Yu Darvish's contract alone will put unattainable expectations onto the 37-year-old starter. Darvish pitched in just 24 games last season, and didn't even record 150 innings pitched. The veteran, while still able to keep the base paths relatively clear of free runners, has seen a dip in his strikeout numbers for the second consecutive season.

Darvish, during his first season in San Diego, posted a 29.2 percent strikeout rate. Combined with a walk rate of just 6.5 percent, Darvish's K-BB% was 22.8 percent in 2021. Last season, that number dropped to 17.1 percent, as Darvish struck out less than 25 percent of the batters he faced.

But without Blake Snell, the San Diego fanbase will be looking to Darvish, along with Joe Musgrove, to be the team's frontline starters in 2024. Darvish signed a six-year, $108 million extension with the club prior to last season, and with an average salary of $18 million per year comes high expectations.

But after battling a bone spur in his elbow last season that eventually ended Darvish's season, questions about his health will be looming heading into spring training. Can Darvish return to the level of dominance he displayed early during his career?

While pitchers like Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer have turned back the clock in recent years, Yu Darvish isn't in their league. His contract and past performance will place lofty projections on Darvish heading into next season, but those may be unattainable for a pitcher coming off an injury and entering his age-37 season.

1. Michael King

The focus has been on the San Diego Padres rotation, and with good reason. When you lose over 90 starts from last year's team, that's inevitably where questions will arise. Michael Wacha, Seth Lugo, and Blake Snell accounted for over 80 starts, and Nick Martinez picked up nine as well.

That is a lot of innings to replace. While the hope is that Joe Musgrove is fully healthy in 2024, the pitchers acquired in the Juan Soto trade will be called upon early and often next season. While Randy Vásquez, and maybe even Jhony Brito, could begin the season in the Padres starting rotation, Michael King is the player that every Friars fan will have their eye on heading into 2024.

You could argue that Drew Thorpe, the young pitching prospect who was also included in the deal for Soto, was the crown jewel of that deal, but King is the most established player who San Diego brought back in return for the All-Star outfielder.

King has 115 major league games under his belt, and began to come in to his own in 2023. Last season, the right-hander went 4-8 in 49 appearances for the New York Yankees. The 28-year-old made nine starts and struck out nearly 11 batters per nine innings pitched. King also kept his walk rate below 8 percent.

King will get the opportunity to be part of the San Diego Padres Opening Day rotation, and could become one of the team's best starters. But going from a spot starter/ reliever with the Yankees to a middle-of-the-rotation pitcher for the Padres will be quite the adjustment. King won't be putting out fires in 2024; he'll be expected to keep them from starting altogether.

The Padres fanbase will have high expectations for Michael King. The right-handed hurler has the talent to meet those lofty goals, but only time will tell if King has what it takes to help anchor a rotation for an entire season.

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