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Padres' positive Nick Pivetta injury update still overflowing with ominous words

The good news on Pivetta only goes so far when the timeline sounds this heavy.
Nick Pivetta (27) delivers during the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Petco Park.
Nick Pivetta (27) delivers during the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Petco Park. | Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

Padres got what passes for a positive update on Nick Pivetta this week, but let’s not pretend the wording didn’t come with a warning label. Pivetta has been diagnosed with a flexor strain, and both he and manager Craig Stammen expressed confidence that he can return this season. 

Any time elbow trouble shows up, the first thing everybody fears is the worst-case scenario, so avoiding an immediate season-ending tone does qualify as a small win. But that’s also where the optimism pretty much stops. Because the phrase Stammen used was “weeks and maybe months,” and during a baseball season, that is not a tiny speed bump. That could end up being a massive chunk of the calendar. 

Padres can spin Nick Pivetta’s update positively, but the timeline is still alarming

“Back this season” sounds nice in the middle of April, right up until you remember how much damage can be done between now and whenever “this season” actually means. A guy can come back in August and technically make that quote true. That doesn’t make the road there any less ugly.

That makes this entire thing so uncomfortable for San Diego. Calling this a positive update feels a little too neat. Positive wouldn’t leave the Padres staring at a stretch where they have to patch together innings and hope the rest of the rotation does not start feeling the weight too.

And that is the bigger problem. It’s about what Pivetta’s absence does to the entire shape of the staff. Michael King now carries even more importance. Matt Waldron is being asked to step in right away. Randy Vásquez, Walker Buehler, and Germán Márquez all feel like guys the Padres need to hold their ground instead of merely contributing.

The Padres have played well enough to create some early confidence, and that is fair. But one ominous update turns depth from a nice spring talking point into a very serious in-season question. And the truth is, San Diego does not really have the luxury of pretending otherwise right now.

Pivetta hasn’t been ruled out for the season. The team is trying to rehab the injury and avoid surgery. That is better than the alternative, no question. But it’s not the same thing as good news, and that is where this update lands.

In the end, the words everybody is going to remember are not hopeful, encouraging, or optimistic. They are “weeks and maybe months.” And for a Padres team trying to keep momentum early, that is the kind of phrase that hangs over everything whether anyone wants to admit it or not.

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