Padres trade deadline: 3 dream starting pitchers to target
The San Diego Padres aren’t going to sit on their hands and hope for the best in the second half in their bid to win a very competitive National League West. They’ve already been active as the MLB trade deadline approaches on Friday, July 30.
They’re not really bad anywhere but not quite good enough at multiple positions, so they might be apt to listen to about any offer that can be an upgrade for the team.
As of today, the Padres are 58-44, a respectable 14 games over .500. But they’re also sitting third place in their division, 5.5 games out of first.
They’re probably a playoff team without doing anything (though there’s a lot of the season left to go), sitting six games above the Cincinnati Reds for the second wild card spot, but truly the wild card isn’t really the goal for a team spending more than $200 million this season, is it?
The Padres starting pitching, like any other role, is good but somehow still behind both the Dodgers and the Giants.
The rotation ranks 13th by WAR at FanGraphs, the ERA 11th. Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Chris Paddock, and Blake Snell have soaked up most of the games started this year, but only Darvish and Musgrove are give a lot of confidence.
So with all that in mind, we’ll start by presenting three dream pitchers to add to the starting rotation staff.
Sure, these *probably* won’t happen, but what if they do?
Padres dream trade: SP Max Scherzer
Update July 29: Ken Rosenthal says a Max Scherzer trade to the Padres appears to be “close.”
The Nationals are probably sellers. They have been disappointing, and there’s really no reason to believe they’re a playoff team.
Max Scherzer, meanwhile, started the All-Star Game for the NL, has an ERA under 3 for the sixth time in seven years, and has put together just an all-around good Max Scherzer kind of season.
If you’re dreaming about a guy to put in your playoff rotation, the ace of a World Series winning team is the guy you want to do it.
The Padres are one of the teams pursuing him too, per Jayson Stark.
Sure, there are caveats.
The Padres are already spending a lot of money. Scherzer is owed the remainder of his $35 million salary for 2021 and is a free agent after.
He won’t be cheap. He has 10-and-5 rights, though he’s probably open to waiving them for the right deal.
But he does prefer the West Coast, per MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand. So if he might be going to the West Coast anyway, a move to deal for Scherzer at least assures he won’t be playing for a division rival.
That’s pretty important.
Per Ken Rosenthal, we could learn within two days where he goes.
Padres dream trade: SP Jose Berrios
Setting the sights down a little bit, the Padres could pursue the sure-to-be-popular Twins starting pitcher Jose Berrios.
While he might not be Max Scherzer, it’s not hard to see him as a useful addition to the Padres rotation.
Berrios sports a 3.48 ERA this season, with an only slightly worse FIP of 3.58. He’s striking out more than a batter per inning (126 in 122 innings), a 25.7% strikeout rate.
Career-wise, he’s carried an ERA of 4.00 or less the past five seasons in Minnesota.
The problem with this trade: The Twins might be asking for too much.
Per MLB Trade Rumors:
The Twins are reported to be seeking a pre-arb Major League player and multiple top 100 prospects to part with their top starter.
The Padres may be willing to pay that price. They may be forced to pay that price to keep up with rivals.
If they do, at least they’ll know Berrios will be around next year too. He’s currently being paid $6.5 million with one year of arbitration remaining. So the price might not even be that high and fit into their plans to be competitive beyond 2021.
Padres dream trade: SP Kyle Gibson
Kyle Gibson rounds out the trio of pitchers who could make for a very good scenario for the Padres in a possible deadline trade deal.
The Rangers’ 33-year-old starting pitcher has enjoyed quite a season so far in Texas, netting an All-Star Game invitation for the effort. Through 19 starts he has an ERA of 2.87 though a higher 3.75 FIP.
He has 94 strikeouts and 41 walks in 119 innings.
Gibson is in the middle of a three-year deal, earning the remainder of his $9 million 2021 salary and set to be paid $7 million in 2022. That gives some club control for a guy who could help round out the rotation for another year to come.
Whether he can maintain his gains in Texas remains to be seen, but a key factor has been keeping the ball in the park much better than in past years: His rate of home runs allowed per nine innings has been halved, based on allowing 9.9 home runs per 100 fly balls, down from 26.7 a year earlier and 14.3 for his career.
While the “dream” may not be as high as Scherzer, he’d be a step above several starters the Padres roll out routinely.