OOTPB Simulation indicates Padres’ MacKenzie Gore getting rocked

Out of the Park Baseball has been simulating the 2020 Padres season, but MacKenzie Gore has been getting hit hard through his first four starts.

Simulations are precisely that. With no baseball, at least not yet, this is all we have right now. However, it looks like MacKenzie Gore‘s rookie year with the Padres is not going as planned, according to Out of the Park Baseball.

The high-tech baseball simulator has teamed up with Baseball Reference to virtually play out what would have been the 2020 season, thus far. But the Padres’ third overall pick in the 2017 MLB Draft has a 6.75 ERA through his first four starts.

2020 Simulated Stats (through May 14)
YearTmAgeWLW-L%ERAGGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOHBPWHIPH9HR9BB9SO9
2020SDP2113.2506.7544018.2201614192111.5549.60.54.310.1

He’s showing some growing pains with a 4.3 BB/9, 14 earned runs, and 1.554 WHIP. While I don’t expect him to dominate – immediately anyways – like was in the minors, his BB/9 has generally remained around 2.6 in his minor league career. So unless he’s nibbling on the corners, I don’t quite see the translation.

Looking around at a couple of other notable players, Fernando Tatis Jr. already has eight doubles, one triple, and 11 home runs in 44 games to go along with a .267/.341/.527 slash line.

2020 Simulated Stats (through May 14)
YearTmAgeGPAABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
2020SDP21441851652144811121541561.267.341.527.868
Related Story: Expanded rosters good news for MacKenzie Gore

Chris Paddack has made nine simulated starts for the Padres, posting a 4.15 ERA while striking out 54 in 47.2 innings. Aside from getting hit a little more often than last year, both his BB/9 and SO/9 have seen substantial increases in a positive way.

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