4 biggest questions for San Diego Padres this offseason

How will they cut money? Or will they increase payroll?

As we talked about already on here, the Padres current 2020 payroll is already well over what they normally spend.

So the front office has a decision to make, is it time to spend big and dramatically increase the payroll? Or do they need to find ways to cut money?

My personal opinion is that they’ll do a little bit of both.

It sounds like the Padres are willing to increase the payroll some this season, but I still wouldn’t expect the final payroll figure at the end of 2020 to be over $120 million.

That means that if Preller is going to add this offseason, he’s going to have to first get creative in finding ways to cut money.

That means possibly trading guys like Wil Myers, Hunter Renfroe, Austin Hedges, and maybe even Kirby Yates.

Those four alone are set to make around $35 million in 2020.

Of course, they aren’t going to find anyone to take on all of that Wil Myers’ contract, but even if they can get someone to take on half of it that would be a huge help.

So maybe before the Padres can even add this offseason, they may have to subtract.

Is Luis Urias the answer at second?

Luis Urias was a top 30 prospect in all of Major League Baseball entering the 2019 season and was viewed by many as the future second baseman of the San Diego Padres.

That tune has suddenly changed as Urias has hit just .221 in his first 263 Major League at-bats with 6 home runs.

In the minors, he hit a combined .308 over 2,051 at-bats with 36 home runs and an OPS of .830.

He was outstanding at Triple-A in 2019 hitting .315 with a career-high 19 home runs and an OPS of .998 in 73 games.

Urias showed signs of hope late in 2019 as he hit .300 in September with a couple of home runs and OBP of .371.

That certainly gives Padres fans hope going into 2020.

At this point, Urias has done everything that he can at the minor league level.

And while he’s still young at 22, it’s time to see what he’s made of over a full season in the big leagues.

The Padres have Ian Kinsler (if healthy) as a back-up option in case Urias really struggles again.

But it’s really hard to see him struggling any harder than he did to start 2019 when he hit .091 in his first 55 at-bats.

If Urias can play a solid second base and hit .260 with double-digit home runs and stolen bases, I think Padres fans would be happy. And I think he’s certainly more than capable of making that happen.

Who plays in the outfield?

The infield and catcher positions appear to be pretty settled, but we have absolutely no idea what is going to happen in the outfield in 2020.

There are plenty of candidates, but not many great ones.

Looking at the Padres’ depth chart right now, they have Wil Myers in left field, Manuel Margot in center, and Hunter Renfroe in right.

Those three all hit .239 or less last season, and Renfroe was the only one to top 20 home runs with 33.

Also on the 40-man roster are Franchy Cordero, Nick Martini, Josh Naylor, and Edward Olivares.

Cordero has shown flashes at times at the big league level but has really struggled with injuries.

He only played in 9 games with the Padres in 2019 and hit a solid .333 before getting injured. And then he never made it through his rehab stint playing in only 15 Minor League games and hitting just .203.

Naylor was pretty solid for the Padres in 2019 hitting .249 with 8 home runs in 253 at-bats, but a .315 OBP and .719 OPS are concerning.

Still, his numbers in the minors are much more promising, and he’s been tearing it up this winter in the Dominican Winter League.

Martini is no spring chicken and will likely just be minor league depth.

And Olivares hit a solid .283 with 18 home runs at Double-A last year, but I don’t think he’s an option for the Padres outfield in 2020.

If I had to guess, the Padres look to move both Renfroe and Myers this offseason.

They’ll start 2020 with Margot and Cordero in the outfield along with an offseason acquisition.

Can they get a frontline starter?

There is no doubt that the biggest question facing the Padres this offseason is whether or not they can add a frontline starter to an up-and-coming but talented starting rotation.

Chris Paddack, Garrett Richards, Dinelson Lamet, Joey Lucchesi, Eric Lauer, and Cal Quantrill already give the Padres a very strong foundation for the starting rotation going into 2020.

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But they need someone atop the rotation to lead them and there are some great names available this offseason.

Of course, the biggest names available are Gerrit Cole and Stephen Strasburg.

You can just about go ahead and count out Cole who could demand over $250 million.

But the hype train for Stephen Strasburg is in full swing, especially after the front office hinted towards going after him.

According to MLB Trade Rumors, it could take $180 million for the Padres to bring the San Diego native home.

Over six years that comes to around $30 million a year.

They’re already paying Manny Machado $32 million a year, so it’s hard to see half of the payroll going to two players.

But having the World Series MVP would certainly make the Padres contenders in 2020.

Outside of Strasburg, pitchers like Zack Wheeler, Madison Bumgarner, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Dallas Keuchel, and Cole Hamels certainly fit the mold of a veteran starter to lead a young rotation.

Getting at least one of these guys would legitimize the Padres going into 2020, and I certainly think it will be the biggest question that needs answering this offseason.