Free Agency Ideas…Getting Better with Age?

The Padres Need to Figure out an Off-Season Plan for the Free Agents on the Market. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Free Agency Ideas

The free agency class of 2014/2015 is tough for position players. At least under 30. What it does offer is a few high risk/high reward options, starting at 3rd base now that Chase Headley is gone; though in some irony is a free agent himself.

This article will look at three players the Padres should consider making a run at to help the team in 2014. Right now the Padres pitching appears to be a strength, though even in 2014 with depth we learned that indeed you can never (ever) have too much good pitching.

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The three players I will look at for the Padres are recent (again) World Series winner and top contributor Pablo Sandoval, Dodger Hanley Ramirez, and super-utilityman Emilio Bonifacio. While finances are always a concern when signing veterans as we are learning every day with Carlos Quentin and Josh Johnson last year – these players are all veterans who have made impacts on teams they have played on and certainly Hanley and Pablo could quickly step into major leadership roles for the young Padres team.

We can start by asking what the Padres are looking to do? It all starts with Jayson Werth. You know him, the savaely bearded Washington National. What you may forget about is that in my mind it was he who changed the Nationals from perennial losers to contenders in the National League East and in fact winners of 2 of the last 3 NL East crowns. When they signed Werth to a huge free agent contract after he had helped win a World Series in Philadelphia, there were a lot of questions.

Didn’t they overpay? Why him? What can this really do for a team that had just finished paying for an Alfonso Soriano contract that contributed to 0 playoff appearances? Yet, the Werth signing was influential because it made the other teams – and players – take notice. This organization was ready to go for it. Then they would sign Adam LaRoche, draft and sign premier picks like Stephen Strasburg and Bryce Harper. Extensions for Jordan Zimmermann and his misspelled brother, Ryan Zimmerman. And Werth set the tone for all of that. He didn’t live up to the monetary expectations of his contract, but outside of his on-field performance, he absolutely accomplished everything the Nationals wanted to get done with that contract. I just hope he invested it wisely. The Padres have a chance to make a splash and make a similar move like the Nats did with Werth. Will they seize it?

This Dodgers FA Shortstop could make a big splash for the Padres. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Hanley Ramirez

It wasn’t that long ago when Hanley Ramirez was considered one of the absolute best players in baseball. A shortstop with speed, power, defense, and hit for average? Sign me up. Move over Alex Rodriguez. Okay, so maybe it was a few years ago, but the man can still play baseball when he is healthy. In 2014 he played in 128 games, hit 14 home runs, batted .283 and drove in 71 runs. In 2013 he hit twenty.

The biggest concern with him is how much he will demand for his payday. On the Dodgers, he fit in with several other high-priced players on a team with a payroll nearly three times what the Padres can afford. On the Padres, we have seen with Carlos Quentin and Josh Johnson how one or two bad free agent signings can cripple the entire team. What if the Padres get Hanley, he gets hurt, and only plays in less than 80 games like he has done in 2013 and 2011? That would be devastating, as certainly Ramirez is expected to consume about 10% of the Padres payroll.

The upside though is pretty tremendous. He can play third or short, both spots the Padres have questions marks on going into 2015. At shortstop and healthy, he would immediately be the focal point for the offense. When was the last time the Padres had a shortstop you were afraid of offensively? Khalil Greene? And even with Greene, you knew those 15 homers were going to be tempered by a .240 batting average.

Right now at third base, the Padres have penciled in Yangervis Solarte and Everth Cabrera / Alexi Amarista at shortstop. Off the field happenings may automatically disqualify Cabrera before the season even begins, and none of those options are proven winning solutions. Let’s say though that Everth does play up to the level he did in 2013. Let’s say they get Hanley Ramirez and plug him in at third base. Now, we can use Solarte to plug in the games when either Cabby or Hanley need an injury reprieve.

In the end, going for Hanley would be a big gamble that I do not think the Padres should make. He is over 30, and will likely be priced simply out of the Padres payroll. If they do splurge and make him the highest paid player on the team – if not franchise history – he either would only disappoint with his on-field performance or leave the team with no flexibility to make any other needed moves if they do find themselves in contention come July.

World Series MVP and Champion Could Make a Difference at Third for the Padres. Mandatory Credit: Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

Pablo Sandoval

The biggest obstacle of course in signing Pablo is that his own team will probably do whatever they can to keep him. After all, he just helped them win their 3rd World Series in 5 years and one of the only position players besides Buster Posey who has been consistent that whole time. On top that, he is often overweight to start the season but finishes it out strong before really coming alive in the playoffs. For a team like the Padres, that hasn’t made the playoffs since 2006, they may not have the luxury to just ‘wait for the playoffs’ to see a marquee signing come alive.

However, as mentioned in the introduction, one thing the Padres need to do is make a statement with their free agent signings. As the Fox announcers pointed out, Pablo winked at the cameras before coming to the plate in Game 7 of the World Series. The Giants were down, but he sparked a rally that would lead to their eventual victory and championship. That my friends is called swagger. Right now, the Padres lack that swagger. Or at least the play to back up the swagger. Playoff success may not be able to be statistically defined – but you also can’t erase this man has put up in the playoffs. In 2010, he was the World Series MVP hitting .529 with 3 HR in one game. In 2014, he hit .429 with 4 RBI. Started it out with a wink. A wink that says he has been there before – knows he can do it – and then goes out and does it.

One concern of course would be his weight. It seems like every year he comes to spring training and weighs more than he is supposed to. Yet, despite those concerns, it hasn’t stopped him from performing. The last two seasons he has averaged about 150 games, hitting .278 and 15 home runs. If he signs a long-term deal (which he deserves), the worry would be of course his motivation to stay in shape. The Dodgers can tell you there is a fine line between “chubby and good” to “overweight and a bust” after their disastrous signing of Andruw Jones.

Again, the Padres have seen Sandoval up close a lot, and it is always surprising just how nimble he is a third place. No one deserved to make the final out than him of the World Series, as his defense is often overlooked as a big part of his attribute to a team.

Overall, I like signing Sandoval over Hanley, but think the Giants themselves will do all they can to keep him in a Giants uniform. After all, according to their schedule another World Series Championship is only two years away.

The Padres want to win the World Series – What is the plan to get there? Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Conclusion

In summary, the Padres have some questions ahead. I mentioned Dayton Moore earlier, and that case study looms large for the Padres. Just how will new GM AJ Preller proceed with the Padres? Is he setting a win-now mentality, or win in several years? This first off-season for Preller will be interesting to see what tone he sets and what direction he is setting for the Padres. The fans should look cautiously at making the wrong moves at the wrong time. One of the keys to the Royals push this year was a decision he made at the end of 2012 when he traded future ROY Wil Myers for ace James Shields and Wade Davis. Those big moves must be made, but I’m just not sure that the fall of 2014 is the time for the Padres to make a big decision. Too many question marks are in the year at key position battles! The only infield position that appears “set” is 2nd base, and that with a player who battled to stay above .200 last season.

My guess is that the Padres spend this off-season figuring out what their long-term plan is going to be and cleaning up the 40-man roster as time goes on. Then you can start plugging the gaps. I do like a signing of Bonifacio if nothing else, because he can fill multiple gaps based on who is and who is not performing well. If Yonder Alonso comes around this season – great. If Grandal finds his bat – awesome. But if they don’t, the Padres might find themselves needing to fill bigger holes next year. What they don’t want to do is make a multi-year committment this season that would handicap their growth for years to come.

They are closer than you might think. The pitching is solid across the board with more on the way, and that might prove a valuable trading chips when the time is needed and the Padres are in contention. Their record this year was better than it has been in several years. If ownership, the GM, and the same manager Bud Black can instill an attitude of winning with a few of the right pieces coming together at the right time, success is bound to find the Padres. If they have a plan. Free agency is here, and as GM Preller reads FriarsOnBase.com for ideas, we are all waiting to find out just what that plan will be.