Poreda To Start Year in AA, Carter in Low-A...Peavy Trade Looking Bad in Hindsight

I was perusing the nearly-finalized rosters of the Padres’ minor league affiliates. I’ll probably look at some of the more questionable decisions later this week. For now, I thought it would be a good idea to let the world (yeah, like the world reads this site, haha) know that Aaron Poreda, who split much of last year between Triple-A and the majors, will be returning to Double-A to open the season.

Poreda’s mechanics and command fell apart late last year after being traded from Chicago to San Diego, and he walked over a batter per inning in Triple-A. He didn’t look very good in the spring either, although he threw a disproportionate number of breaking pitches in his worst outing.

This registers as a lack of confidence in the young lefty fireballer. Poreda’s now 23, so he’s at the point where he needs to adjust soon or risk being lost in the shuffle. It looks like he’s now likely to be moved permanently to relief as well, further denting his stock.

As Clayton Richard becomes more and more exposed as a guy better suited to a LOOGY role than a mid-rotation one, and Poreda struggles to throw strikes, the Jake Peavy trade seems to look worse and worse. The best hope to salvage the trade is probably Dexter Carter, who also immediately struggled after the trade and is starting 2010 back in Low-A at age 23.

Not to get overly pessimistic or sound the alarm bells, but Poreda and Carter seem to be really falling out of favor. There’s nothing the Padres can do–they’ve fired the staff that brought them in, and replaced them with a staff that seems to value them much lower.

Here’s hoping that either a) they rebound and make the trade look good or b) the new front office doesn’t make similar bad moves in the future. A small-market team can’t afford to trade an ace pitcher and get little in return. I almost always take the side of the team getting the big prospect haul, but just a few months after the deal, it’s looking like a huge question mark already.

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Tags: Aaron Poreda Clayton Richard Dexter Carter Jake Peavy Padres

  • Larry Faria

    I don’t think you can write off the trade just yet, it IS very early. Poreda was definitely the key to the trade, and he’s still a lefty with a 95+ fastball. How many of those are out there?

    Just look what happened to the kid last year, only his third in pro ball, only his second full year. He started in AA, moved up to AAA, got a look-see in the AL, got traded, went to AAA Portland and got a look-see in the NL.

    That’s two organizations, five teams, five leagues and three levels of competition, all in one year. That’s quite a lot for a 22 year old to adjust to, don’t you think?

    The Padres, by some accounts, do a good job of developing pitchers, and maybe they think getting Aaron acquainted with the system at the AA level where he had his best success, in a pitcher’s league, is the best way to get him back on-track. Moving Carter to A+ may serve the same purpose.

    A lot of people might disagree with you about Richard, and it looks like Black and Hoyer are two of them. His performance this year as a full-time starter may change their minds, or yours. Just don’t fall into the trap of comparing lefties and righties. There’s a reason baseball values lefties – there are so few of them, and they can have such an effect on the game, that they’re viewed as a separate category.

    It’s going to take several years to properly judge the trade, and it’s going to have to include how Li’l Peavy and his violent delivery hold up in his 30′s in a hitter’s ballpark.

  • http://bleacherreport.com/users/10925-nathaniel-stoltz Nathaniel Stoltz

    Unfortunately, Poreda’s fastball velocity has declined. He averaged 92.2 mph with the pitch last year.

    And hey, like I said, I usually take the prospects over the vet, and I’m fully aware that it takes a few years before you really know. All I’m saying is that early returns show the stock of some of the prospects dropping.